For a normal distribution, approximately 68% of data lies within one standard deviation of the mean, 95% within two, and 99.7% within three. This is called the 68-95-99.7 rule or empirical rule.
If the mean is and the standard deviation is , the intervals are:
| Distance from the mean | Interval | Approximate percentage within the interval |
|---|---|---|
| One standard deviation | 68% | |
| Two standard deviations | 95% | |
| Three standard deviations | 99.7% |
Why the percentages work
A normal distribution is symmetric about its mean. Therefore, the percentage outside each central interval is divided equally between the two tails.
| Central percentage | Total outside | Percentage in each tail |
|---|---|---|
| 68% | 32% | 16% |
| 95% | 5% | 2.5% |
| 99.7% | 0.3% | 0.15% |
For example, suppose examination scores are normally distributed with and . Approximately 95% of scores fall within two standard deviations:
so approximately 95% lie between 60 and 80. If 1000 students take the examination, the expected number in this interval is
The rule also lets you estimate percentages in bands. On one side of the mean, the region from one to two standard deviations contains approximately , while the region from two to three contains approximately . To find the proportion above , use the upper tail: . These results follow from symmetry and subtraction of nested central areas. This avoids memorizing each band separately.
A common misconception is that this rule applies to every data set. It applies only when the distribution is normal or approximately normal; the percentages are approximations, not exact values for arbitrary distributions.
IB exam technique
This is IB Mathematics AA SL 4.9: Normal distribution and calculations, usually assessed on Paper 2 using a GDC. Sketch and label the normal curve, identify the required interval or tail, and use technology when an exact normal probability is required rather than relying only on the empirical rule.
