A one-tailed test looks for a change in one specified direction, while a two-tailed test looks for a change in either direction. The wording of the claim determines the test through the alternative hypothesis.
How the Tail Is Chosen
Suppose a company claims that the mean battery life is 10 hours.
| Test | Alternative hypothesis | Appropriate wording |
|---|---|---|
| One-tailed, upper | “The mean has increased” or “is greater than 10” | |
| One-tailed, lower | “The mean has decreased” or “is less than 10” | |
| Two-tailed | “The mean has changed” or “is different from 10” |
The null hypothesis contains equality, so all three tests use . You must choose the direction before examining the sample results; choosing it afterwards would bias the test.
For example, if the sample mean is above 10 but the preselected alternative is , the result does not support that alternative. You may not switch to an upper-tailed test after seeing the data.
At significance level , a one-tailed test places the full rejection probability in one tail. A two-tailed test divides it between both tails, placing in each tail. Consequently, a one-tailed test has more power to detect an effect in its specified direction, but it cannot test for an effect in the opposite direction.
For a GDC-generated p-value, compare it directly with :
- If , reject .
- If , there is insufficient evidence to reject .
A common misconception is that the sign of the sample result decides whether the test is one- or two-tailed. It does not: the research question and decide this before calculations begin.
IB Exam Technique
This is SL 4.11 hypothesis testing and may appear on either GDC-active paper. State and , use the correct one- or two-tailed GDC test, compare explicitly with , and conclude in context. Never write “accept ”; write “insufficient evidence to reject .”
