If you’ve received a predicted score of 40 in the IB Diploma Programme, congratulations—you’re in an elite tier of students. But how good is that, really? Let’s break down what this score means, how it affects university admissions, and what you can do next to make the most of it.
What Is a Predicted Score in the IB?
How Predicted Grades Are Calculated
Predicted scores are assigned by IB teachers based on:
- Class performance
- Internal Assessments (IAs)
- Mock exams and coursework
- Effort, participation, and consistency
They are submitted during university application season and play a vital role in admissions.
When and Why Predicted Grades Matter
- UK (UCAS): Crucial for conditional offers
- Canada/US: Supports early application decisions
- Europe/Asia: May influence scholarship consideration
The IB Grading Scale and the Meaning of a 40
Breakdown of Points and Components
- 6 subjects × max 7 points = 42
- TOK + EE bonus = 3
- Maximum total = 45
A score of 40 suggests:
- Mostly 6s and 7s in HL/SL subjects
- 2 or 3 bonus points from TOK and EE
Comparison With Average Global Scores
- World average IB score: ~30
- Score of 40+: Top 10% globally
- Score of 43+: Top 1–2%
Academic Strength of a 40 Predicted Score
Indicates Consistency and High-Level Mastery
Scoring 40+ requires:
- Deep understanding of course content
- Strong analytical and writing skills
- Consistent effort across subjects
Reflects Strong Internal Assessments and Coursework
High predicted grades show that your IAs and projects meet top-tier standards—valuable in applications even before exam results are in.
University Admissions Impact
Global Universities That Favor High Predicted Scores
- UK: Oxford, Cambridge, LSE, UCL often require 38–42 predicted
- US: Ivy Leagues, Stanford, MIT expect 38+ as competitive
- Canada: UBC, Toronto, McGill—40+ earns top consideration
- Asia/Australia: NUS, HKU, ANU—competitive IB applicants get priority
Scholarships and Early Acceptances
Some institutions grant early admission or merit-based scholarships based on predicted scores alone.
How Rare Is a Predicted 40 in the IB?
IB World Average vs Top Tier
Only about 10% of IB students worldwide receive predicted scores of 40 or higher.
Perceptions by Admission Officers
Universities see a 40+ prediction as a mark of a focused, disciplined, and university-ready student.
Benefits of a High Predicted Score
Boosts Confidence and Motivation
Knowing you're capable of 40+ gives you the momentum to prepare thoroughly for final exams.
Opens Doors to Top-Tier Opportunities
It increases your eligibility for elite universities, scholarships, research programs, and internships.
Potential Pitfalls and Misconceptions
Overconfidence or Complacency Risk
Some students relax after receiving high predictions. This can lead to underperformance in final exams.
What If Final Scores Fall Short?
Universities may withdraw offers if your final grade drops too far. It’s vital to continue strong performance.
How to Maintain or Improve a 40 Prediction
Revision Strategies With RevisionDojo
RevisionDojo helps students:
- Focus on exam-prioritized topics
- Practice with real past papers
- Review weak areas with expert feedback
- Structure EE and TOK essays for top marks
Focus Areas Before Final Exams
- Time management and mock reviews
- Detailed rubric practice
- HL/SL paper differentiation strategies
Frequently Asked Questions
Is a Predicted 40 Enough for Oxbridge or Ivy League?
Yes—but they also expect strong essays, extracurriculars, and recommendations.
Can Predicted Grades Change Later?
Yes, teachers can update predictions before final submission if your performance improves or drops.
Do Predicted Scores Affect Final IB Exams?
No, they don’t impact grading—but they do influence university offers and confidence.
What If My Final Score Is Lower Than Predicted?
It depends. A drop from 40 to 36 may still secure your university place. Large drops could risk conditional offers.
How Does RevisionDojo Help With Prediction Accuracy?
RevisionDojo offers precise feedback, predicted-grade checklists, and guides aligned with IB examiner expectations.
Can Predicted 40 Students Get Scholarships?
Yes. Many universities have scholarship thresholds that start at predicted scores of 38–40+.
Conclusion: A Predicted 40 Is Excellent—Make It Count
Next Steps for High-Achieving IB Students
A predicted 40 is a strong indicator of future success, but it’s not a finish line. Use it to fuel your final efforts.
Secure Your Success With RevisionDojo
Whether you're aiming to maintain your score or push it higher, RevisionDojo offers the support, tools, and strategies to help you finish the IB strong.
