What Are Predicted IB Grades and Why Do They Matter?
Predicted grades are forecasted scores submitted by IB teachers that estimate how you'll perform in your final exams. They are:
- Based on IA performance, classwork, and mock results
- Used by universities, especially in early or conditional admissions
- Often submitted to UCAS (UK), Common App (US), and OUAC (Canada) in your final year
They’re critical because they may determine whether you receive a conditional offer or interview invitation before final exams are even completed.
Global Benchmark – What Is Considered a Good Predicted IB Score?
The global average IB score is approximately 30–31 out of 45. Here’s a rough guide to what’s considered “good”:
- 38–45: Excellent – Strong for Ivy League and Oxbridge-level schools
- 34–37: Very Good – Competitive for top global universities
- 30–33: Good – Meets requirements for most universities worldwide
- Below 30: Needs Improvement – Consider alternative options or retakes
Predicted scores are only useful if they reflect consistent academic performance, especially in HL subjects.
Evaluating Your Predicted Grades by Subject
🎓 Higher Level (HL)
- Aim for 6s or 7s in at least 2 HLs
- Top universities expect excellence in subject-relevant HLs
📘 Standard Level (SL)
- 5 or above is safe for most schools
- Some flexibility is allowed depending on the school’s curriculum
Universities also consider your subject combination—a 7 in HL Physics carries different weight than a 7 in Visual Arts depending on your chosen field.
How Predicted Grades Affect University Admissions
UK and Canada (Conditional Offer Systems)
- Offers are made based on predicted scores (e.g., “You must score 36 with a 6 in HL Math”)
- If your final grades fall short, the offer can be rescinded
US and International (Holistic Systems)
- Predictions are used during early application stages
- Final transcripts and diplomas are often required later
- Your IB subjects, essay, and EE also play a big role
Scholarships and College Credit
- High predicted HL scores (6/7) can lead to credit awards or course waivers
- Some schools offer merit scholarships for IB diploma students
Examples of “Good” Predicted Scores by Destination
🇺🇸 U.S. Top Schools (e.g., Harvard, Stanford)
- Predicted Score Range: 38–45
- HLs should reflect your intended major
- Bonus points (TOK + EE) add strength
🇬🇧 UK Universities (e.g., UCL, LSE, Oxford)
- Predicted Score Range: 36–40
- Specific subjects must meet minimum thresholds
- Offers may include score conditions (e.g., “HL Maths 6 or above”)
🇨🇦 Canadian Universities (e.g., Toronto, McGill)
- Predicted Score Range: 30–36
- Many schools accept certificates too (non-diploma students)
🌏 Asia, Europe, Australia
- Range: 28–36 depending on the institution
- Internationally, a full diploma with 30+ is respected
What to Do If Your Predicted Grades Are Low
🗣️ Speak to Your IB Coordinator
- If you believe your scores are underestimated, request a reevaluation
- Provide new evidence or improvements (e.g., IA drafts, mocks)
🎯 Focus Your Revision
- Use past paper questions, syllabus points, and mark schemes
- Target subjects where small gains could push your total higher
🏫 Be Strategic With Applications
- Choose universities with lower score requirements
- Apply early if your predictions are above average
- Consider foundation programs or transfer pathways
FAQs – Understanding Predicted IB Grades
Do predicted grades guarantee admission?
No—but they often influence conditional or early offers.
Can I change my predicted grades?
Not directly, but you can ask for reconsideration based on academic progress.
What if my finals are better than my predictions?
Great! You may exceed university conditions or even qualify for scholarships.
Are bonus points included in predictions?
Sometimes. Schools may include TOK/EE predictions, but they aren't always used in university decision-making.
How are predicted grades weighted by admissions officers?
Predicted grades are weighed within the full context of your school, coursework, and personal statement.
Should I still apply with lower predictions?
Yes—especially if your final exams could show improvement or if you apply to a wide range of universities.
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