Country A, Country B, and Country C are experiencing different economic challenges. Country A has recently implemented a subsidy on agricultural products to support domestic farmers. Meanwhile, Country B faces high inflation, leading to an increase in interest rates by its central bank. Country C, an export-oriented economy, is experiencing a decline in its balance of trade due to global demand fluctuations.
###Table 1: Market Data for Country A’s Agricultural Goods**
| Price per Unit ($) | Quantity Demanded (thousands) | Quantity Supplied (thousands) |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 200 | 150 |
| 15 | 180 | 180 |
| 20 | 160 | 210 |
| 25 | 140 | 240 |
The government of Country A has decided to provide a subsidy of $5 per unit on agricultural goods.
Table 2: Inflation and Interest Rates in Country B
| Year | Inflation Rate (%) | Interest Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 3.2 | 4.5 |
| 2022 | 5.8 | 6.0 |
| 2023 | 7.1 | 7.5 |
| 2024 | 9.3 | 9.0 |
Table 3: Trade Data for Country C
| Year | Exports ($ billion) | Imports ($ billion) |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 85 | 70 |
| 2022 | 90 | 78 |
| 2023 | 88 | 82 |
| 2024 | 80 | 85 |
The government of Country C is considering trade policies to address the trade imbalance.
Using information from Table 1, calculate the price elasticity of demand (PED) when the price changes from 20.
[2]- Correct approach:
The price increases from $15 to $20, while quantity demanded falls from 180 to 160 (thousands).
- Percentage change in quantity demanded = .
- Percentage change in price = .
1 mark
- Correct final answer:
- PED = .
1 mark
Explain why the subsidy provided by Country A’s government is likely to affect the equilibrium price and quantity.
[4]- A subsidy is a government payment that reduces producers’ costs of production. 1 mark
- Lower production costs shift the supply curve to the right (increase in supply). 1 mark
- With a greater supply at each possible price, the new market equilibrium generally results in a lower price for consumers. 1 mark
- The lower price encourages more quantity demanded, leading to a higher equilibrium quantity exchanged in the market. 1 mark
Using information from Table 2, calculate the percentage change in the inflation rate from 2021 to 2024.
[2]- Correct approach
The inflation rate rises from 3.2% (2021) to 9.3% (2024).
1 mark
- Correct final answer:
Percentage change = .
1 mark
Using information from Table 2, calculate the difference between the real and nominal interest rates in 2023 if the expected inflation rate was 5.5%.
[2]Define the term balance of trade.
[2]Using information from Table 3, calculate the trade balance of Country C for the year 2024.
[2]Sketch a supply and demand diagram to illustrate the impact of the subsidy on Country A’s agricultural market.
[2]Using information from Table 3, explain how the trend in Country C’s trade data could affect its exchange rate.
[4]- The data show that Country C’s trade surplus has been shrinking, turning into a deficit in 2024 (Exports USD 80 billion vs. Imports USD 85 billion).
- A persistent or growing trade deficit means more spending on imports relative to income from exports, reducing net demand from to for the domestic currency in foreign exchange markets.
- Lower net demand for the currency tends to put downward pressure on its value, resulting in a depreciation of the exchange rate from to .
2 marks for correct diagram OR explanation
4 marks for correct diagram AND explanation
Using the text/data provided and your knowledge of economics, recommend a policy that Country B’s central bank could implement to control inflation while maintaining economic growth.
[10]Below is an example answer:
DEFINITION
- Inflation: A sustained increase in the general price level.
- Economic growth: An increase in a country's real output (real GDP) over a period time.
MONETARY POLICY TO REDUCE INFLATION
- Higher interest rates reduce inflationary pressures by discouraging consumption and investment, leading to lower aggregate demand.
- The upward trend in Country B’s interest rates (4.5% to 9.0%) has attempted to tackle the inflation surge from 3.2% to 9.3%.
- A targeted or gradual approach to further tightening can moderate price increases without severely harming domestic demand.
Diagram
- An aggregate demand (AD) and aggregate supply (AS) diagram, where contractionary monetary policy shifts AD to the left, reducing the price level (from P to P1).
- The reduction in output should be kept minimal if the central bank raises rates gradually, preventing a sharp decline in real GDP.
MAINTAINING ECONOMIC GROWTH
- Excessively high interest rates risk reducing investment and consumption to the point of slowing real GDP growth.
- A measured increase in rates can stabilize price expectations, reducing the likelihood of a wage-price spiral, while leaving enough room for businesses to borrow at feasible rates.
- Sustained investor confidence depends on predictable policy. If the central bank clarifies its inflation target and commits to moderate adjustments, firms can plan long-term capital investments without fear of abrupt borrowing cost spikes.
CONCLUSION
- A carefully calibrated, incremental rise in the interest rate is recommended to bring inflation closer to a manageable level while preserving growth prospects.
- This policy uses the central bank’s main instrument—monetary policy—to address inflation, referencing how prior rate increases have partially contained price rises.
- By maintaining a balance between controlling excessive price pressures and supporting business expansion, Country B can achieve lower inflation in tandem with steady economic growth.
(Other recommended policies may also be valid).