Understanding the Role of Predicted Grades in IB
In the International Baccalaureate (IB) program, predicted grades are estimates of the final scores a student is likely to receive. Teachers submit these predictions to the IB and universities in the final year of the Diploma Programme (DP). These grades:
- Help universities make admissions decisions
- Are often used to offer conditional acceptances
- Reflect class performance, IA results, and mock exams
They are not your final grades, but they can significantly influence your academic future—especially for early application deadlines.
What Is an Under-Predicted Grade?
An under-predicted grade occurs when a teacher predicts a score lower than what you believe you’re capable of achieving or have consistently demonstrated. For example:
- You consistently scored 6s in HL Chemistry, but your teacher predicts a 4
- Your IA performance was strong, but the predicted grade doesn’t reflect that
Why It Matters
- A low predicted grade could limit your university options
- It might affect scholarship eligibility
- It can feel discouraging, especially if you’ve worked hard
However, it's crucial to approach this issue with maturity, evidence, and perspective.
Steps to Take If You’ve Been Under Predicted
1. Stay Calm and Assess the Situation
- Take a moment to collect your thoughts
- Understand that predictions are not personal; they’re based on data
2. Gather Evidence
Collect all materials that demonstrate your performance, including:
- Internal Assessment scores
- Mock exam results
- Past assignments and tests
- Class participation or project contributions
3. Schedule a Respectful Meeting With Your Teacher
- Approach your teacher politely and with an open mind
- Ask them to explain how your predicted grade was determined
- Present your evidence calmly and ask for their perspective
Sometimes, it’s a misunderstanding or a case of missing data.
How to Formally Request a Review of Predicted Grades
If informal discussion doesn’t resolve the issue:
1. Check Your School’s Policy
Every IB school has a protocol for grade appeals. Ask your IB coordinator or counselor.
2. Write a Clear and Respectful Appeal
Include:
- Specific reasons you believe the prediction is inaccurate
- Evidence (test scores, IA feedback, class averages)
- A request for re-evaluation—not a demand
3. Include a Counselor or Parent if Necessary
They can support you professionally if needed, but avoid making it confrontational.
Can Schools Change Predicted Grades Once Submitted?
Yes—but only before submission deadlines. After that:
- Changes are rare
- Only allowed under exceptional circumstances, such as clerical errors
- The IB does not accept appeals from students directly regarding predictions
That’s why early communication is key.
How to Prevent Underprediction in the Future
- Maintain strong performance from DP1 onward
- Engage actively in class and ask questions
- Submit IA drafts early and incorporate feedback
- Build a positive, professional relationship with teachers
- Ask for regular progress updates throughout the term
Emotional Impact of Being Under Predicted
Being under predicted can feel:
- Frustrating
- Demoralizing
- Unfair
But it’s important to channel those emotions into positive action:
- Talk to a school counselor if needed
- Keep your focus on the final exams—you can still prove yourself
- Remember that one grade doesn’t define your future
Alternatives If Your Predicted Grades Are Low
Don’t panic. You still have options:
- Apply to safety schools or universities with holistic admissions
- Consider a gap year and reapply with final IB results
- Use your personal statement to explain the context
- Build a strong extracurricular profile to balance academics
Your final IB scores can override poor predictions in many post-application updates.
Conclusion: Advocate for Yourself With Respect and Evidence
If you feel your predicted grade is unfair, you have the right to seek a review—but do so respectfully and constructively. Use evidence, stay professional, and trust that your hard work will show in the end.
Even if your grade remains unchanged, your final IB exam results can still make all the difference. Keep working hard—you’ve got this.
FAQs
Can I change my predicted grades myself?
No. Only teachers and school administrators can make official changes.
Do universities know if grades are under predicted?
They don’t automatically—but you can contextualize this in your application if allowed.
Can final IB scores override bad predictions?
Yes. If your final scores exceed predictions, many universities will still honor offers, especially if you update them promptly.
Will a low prediction affect my diploma?
No. It only affects university applications, not your eligibility to earn the IB diploma.
Is it okay to challenge a teacher’s decision?
Yes—but respectfully and with solid academic evidence.
What if the whole class was under predicted?
That could suggest misalignment with assessment standards. Speak to your IB coordinator—they may escalate the issue internally.
