IB predicted grades are teacher estimates of the scores students are likely to achieve in their final IB exams. These grades are based on classwork, mock exams, Internal Assessments (IAs), and overall engagement during the Diploma Programme. For university applications—especially in the UK, Europe, and many private universities worldwide—predicted grades play a vital role because applications are submitted before final results are released.
How Accurate Are IB Predicted Grades?
- Generally reliable: Teachers use a combination of class tests, coursework, mock exams, and their understanding of IB standards to estimate final grades. These predictions usually align reasonably well with actual outcomes.
- Not perfect: Final exam performance can vary due to exam-day factors like stress or unexpected challenges. Predicted grades are an informed estimate, not a guarantee.
- Monitored by the IB: The IB tracks prediction trends at schools to ensure that predicted grades are not systematically over- or under-estimated across multiple students.
Why Predicted Grades Matter for University Admissions
- Conditional offers: Many universities, especially those using systems like UCAS in the UK, base conditional offers on predicted grades. This means you may receive an offer if your final grades meet or exceed those predictions.
- Influence on scholarships: High predicted grades (for example, 38+ points) can improve your chances of securing a place at top universities and winning merit-based scholarships.
- Flexibility in some systems: In the US or other holistic admissions systems, predicted grades matter, but universities also consider extracurricular activities, personal statements, and standardized test scores.
Risks of Inaccurate Predictions
- If your final grades fall below predictions, some universities may withdraw conditional offers. However, some flexibility exists, and alternative pathways like clearing or appeals may still be options.
- If your predicted grades are significantly lower than your potential, you could miss out on opportunities at competitive universities unless you can provide other supporting evidence of your capabilities.
Summary
IB predicted grades are:
- An important tool for university admissions, helping institutions gauge your academic potential.
- Based on multiple data points and professional judgement, making them generally accurate but not infallible.
- A key motivator for students to focus on improving before final exams to match or exceed predictions.
In short, predicted grades are influential, but they are estimates—not guarantees. Final performance still matters most.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
Are IB predicted grades usually higher or lower than final grades?
It varies. Some students outperform their predictions, while others fall slightly short. Teachers aim for realistic, evidence-based predictions to avoid significant gaps.
Do all universities require predicted grades?
Most universities in the UK, Europe, and some private institutions globally require predicted grades for early decisions. US universities may consider them, but rely more on holistic review.
Can I ask my teacher to change a predicted grade?
Generally no, unless you have clear evidence (such as improved mock exam results) that your performance has significantly changed. Always approach the conversation respectfully.
Do predicted grades affect scholarship decisions?
Yes. Many competitive scholarships consider predicted grades when shortlisting applicants.
What happens if my final grades don’t meet my predictions?
Universities may withdraw conditional offers, but you might still have options like clearing, appeals, or retakes.
Where can I find tools to track and improve my predicted grades?
Check out RevisionDojo, where IB experts provide grade trackers, mock exam planners, and IA support resources to help you meet or exceed your predicted grades.
