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    A psychologist records the number of digits of π that a sample of IB Mathematics higher level candidates could recall.

    Question
    HLPaper 1

    A psychologist records the number of digits of π that a sample of IB Mathematics higher level candidates could recall.

    d234567
    Frequency262421113
    1.

    Find an unbiased estimate of the population mean of d.

    [1]
    Verified
    Solution

    Let xˉ\bar{x}xˉ be the sample mean xˉ=2(2)+3(6)+4(24)+5(21)+6(11)+7(3)67\bar{x} = \frac{2(2) + 3(6) + 4(24) + 5(21) + 6(11) + 7(3)}{67}xˉ=672(2)+3(6)+4(24)+5(21)+6(11)+7(3)​ xˉ=13467=4.687...\bar{x} = \frac{134}{67} = 4.687...xˉ=67134​=4.687...

    The sample mean is an unbiased estimate of the population mean.

    2.

    Find an unbiased estimate of the population variance of d.

    [2]
    Verified
    Solution

    The unbiased estimate of population variance is: s2=∑(x−xˉ)2n−1s^2 = \frac{\sum(x-\bar{x})^2}{n-1}s2=n−1∑(x−xˉ)2​ where n = 67

    Calculating ∑(x−xˉ)2\sum(x-\bar{x})^2∑(x−xˉ)2: (2−4.687)2(2)+(3−4.687)2(6)+(4−4.687)2(24)+(5−4.687)2(21)+(6−4.687)2(11)+(7−4.687)2(3)(2-4.687)^2(2) + (3-4.687)^2(6) + (4-4.687)^2(24) + (5-4.687)^2(21) + (6-4.687)^2(11) + (7-4.687)^2(3)(2−4.687)2(2)+(3−4.687)2(6)+(4−4.687)2(24)+(5−4.687)2(21)+(6−4.687)2(11)+(7−4.687)2(3)

    s2=1.243...s^2 = 1.243...s2=1.243...

    3.

    The psychologist has read that in the general population people can remember an average of 4.4 digits of π. The psychologist wants to perform a statistical test to see if IB Mathematics higher level candidates can remember more digits than the general population. H₀: μ = 4.4 is the null hypothesis for this test. State the alternative hypothesis.

    [1]
    Verified
    Solution

    H₁: μ > 4.4

    Note: Must use correct notation (μ) and inequality sign (>)

    4.

    Given that all assumptions for this test are satisfied, carry out an appropriate hypothesis test. State and justify your conclusion. Use a 5% significance level.

    [4]
    Verified
    Solution

    This is a one-tailed z-test (or t-test) as n > 30

    Test statistic: z=xˉ−μ0snz = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu_0}{\frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}}z=n​s​xˉ−μ0​​

    where xˉ=4.687\bar{x} = 4.687xˉ=4.687, μ0=4.4\mu_0 = 4.4μ0​=4.4, s=1.243=1.115s = \sqrt{1.243} = 1.115s=1.243​=1.115, n=67n = 67n=67

    z=4.687−4.41.11567=2.127z = \frac{4.687 - 4.4}{\frac{1.115}{\sqrt{67}}} = 2.127z=67​1.115​4.687−4.4​=2.127

    Critical value at 5% significance level (one-tailed) is 1.645

    Since 2.127 > 1.645, we reject H₀

    Conclusion: There is sufficient evidence at the 5% significance level to conclude that IB Mathematics HL candidates can remember more digits of π than the general population.

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