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    **Figure 1: Mean ozone hole area between 1979 and 2016**

    Question
    SLPaper 2

    Figure 1: Mean ozone hole area between 1979 and 2016

    Image

    Source: https://ourworldindata.org/ozone-layer

    1.

    State where the ozone hole referred to in Figure 1 is located.

    [1]
    Verified
    Solution

    in the (lower) stratosphere / over the poles / above the Antarctic/Arctic / at higher latitudes / Australia/NZ 1 mark

    2.

    Describe the changes in mean ozone hole area between 1979 and 2016.

    [2]
    Verified
    Solution

    Award 1 mark for each of the following, 2 marks max:

    • rapid increase during the 1980s/up to 1990s/ from 1979–87;
    • reaches maximum in late 1990s; relative stable during late1990s;
    • fluctuating from 2000 onwards;
    • possibly declining in late 2000s/from 2014;

    Be prepared to give a little leeway in precise years for changes in trends, but some reference to their timing is required.

    3.

    Identify one possible reason for the changes shown during the 1980s.

    [1]
    Verified
    Solution

    Award 1 mark max for any of the following:

    increasing use of/disposal of refrigerants containing CFCs;
    increasing use of CFCs in aerosols;
    increasing release of NO_x_ from fossil fuel combustion; increasing use of methyl bromides as pesticides;

    Responses should identify the ODS and its use for full credit.

    4.

    Explain how the data in Figure 1 can be used in judging the success of the Montreal Protocol in addressing ozone depletion.

    [4]
    Verified
    Solution

    Award 1 mark for each relevant statement, 4 mark max:

    • Montreal Protocol was introduced in 1987/graph covers period before and after introduction of Montreal Protocol;
    • it introduced a ban on the use of CFCs / led to use of alternative HCFs/HFs;
    • rate of ozone destruction/growth of the ozone hole slows down/stops soon after this date;
    • suggesting it had some success/favourable impact on ozone depletion;
    • however, there is little evidence of ozone levels being restored to earlier levels / hole disappearing;
    • possibly some evidence in last few years/2014–2016 on graph of ozone hole reducing/ozone being restored;
    • the stabilisation/limited decline in ozone hole may suggest black market sale of ODSs (limited success);
    • continued impact of long-lasting ODSs (CFCs/HCFs) delay final judgement;

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