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    Country Alpha, a developing economy, has experienced fluctuations in economic performance due to external trade shocks, government interventions, and exchange rate adjustments. The following data represents various economic indicators and policy changes that have impacted Alpha's economy.

    Question
    HLPaper 3

    Country Alpha, a developing economy, has experienced fluctuations in economic performance due to external trade shocks, government interventions, and exchange rate adjustments. The following data represents various economic indicators and policy changes that have impacted Alpha's economy.

    The domestic rice market in Alpha is subject to government intervention. The government recently imposed a price ceiling of 5perkilograminanattempttomakestaplefoodmoreaffordable.Priortotheintervention,theequilibriumpricewas5 per kilogram in an attempt to make staple food more affordable. Prior to the intervention, the equilibrium price was 5perkilograminanattempttomakestaplefoodmoreaffordable.Priortotheintervention,theequilibriumpricewas7 per kilogram, with an equilibrium quantity of 500,000 kg. The following diagram illustrates the domestic rice market for Alpha:

    Figure 1: The Domestic Rice Market in Country Alpha

    A price ceiling is imposed at $5 per kilogram.

    Country Alpha's government has been implementing various macroeconomic policies to improve GDP growth and reduce income inequality. The following table presents selected national income data:

    Table 1: Selected National Income Data (in million $)

    IndicatorValue
    Nominal GDP12,000
    Real GDP Growth Rate3.2%
    Gross National Income (GNI)11,800
    Keynesian Multiplier2.5
    Gini Coefficient0.42
    Unemployment Rate6.8%

    In response to a growing current account deficit, Alpha's central bank intervened in the foreign exchange market. The government has also imposed tariffs on certain imported goods to protect domestic industries.

    Table 2: Balance of Payments for Country Alpha (2016, in million $)

    CategoryValue
    Net capital transfers-288
    Net current transfers-170
    Net direct investment361
    Exports of services409
    Imports of goods829
    Net investment income144
    Imports of services435
    Exports of goods852

    The government of Alpha has also imposed a $2 tariff per kilogram on imported rice. Following the depreciation of Alpha’s currency, the current account initially worsened before showing signs of improvement.

    1.

    Using the text/data provided and your knowledge of economics, recommend a policy that the government of Alpha could implement to reduce income inequality while maintaining economic growth.

    [10]
    Verified
    Solution

    1 mark for identifying a policy that can reduce income inequality while maintaining economic growth.

    1 mark for explaining how the policy reduces income inequality.

    1 mark for explaining how the policy maintains economic growth.

    1 mark for using data/information from the text to support the recommendation.

    2 marks for evaluating potential limitations or drawbacks of the policy.

    2 marks for discussing alternative policies and comparing their effectiveness.

    2 marks for a justified conclusion that weighs the benefits and costs of the recommended policy.

    Maximum 8 marks if the answer does not explicitly address both reducing inequality AND maintaining growth.

    Maximum 6 marks if no reference is made to the data/information provided in the text.

    2.

    Using information from the text/table above, calculate the change in consumer surplus after the imposition of the price ceiling.

    [2]
    Verified
    Solution
    • CS=12×Base×HeightCS = \frac{1}{2} \times \text{Base} \times \text{Height}CS=21​×Base×Height

    • CSinitial=12×500,000×(7−0)=1,750,000CS_{\text{initial}} = \frac{1}{2} \times 500,000 \times (7 - 0) = 1,750,000CSinitial​=21​×500,000×(7−0)=1,750,000

    • CSnew=12×500,000×(7−5)=500,000CS_{\text{new}} = \frac{1}{2} \times 500,000 \times (7 - 5) = 500,000CSnew​=21​×500,000×(7−5)=500,000 1 mark

    • ΔCS=CSnew−CSinitial\Delta CS = CS_{\text{new}} - CS_{\text{initial}}ΔCS=CSnew​−CSinitial​

      =500,000−1,750,000=−1,250,000= 500,000 - 1,750,000 = -1,250,000=500,000−1,750,000=−1,250,000 1 mark

    3.

    Explain why imposing a price ceiling on rice can lead to a welfare loss.

    [4]
    Verified
    Solution
    • Shortage of rice: At 555, quantity demanded exceeds supply, leading to excess demand. 1 mark
    • Inefficient allocation: Some consumers willing to pay 777 can't buy at 555, leading to inefficiencies. 1 mark
    • Black market formation: Due to shortages, a parallel market emerges, raising effective prices. 1 mark
    • Reduced producer surplus: Producers receive lower prices, reducing their incentive to supply. 1 mark
    4.

    Using information from Figure 1, calculate the resulting shortage in the market due to the price ceiling.

    [2]
    Verified
    Solution
    • Shortage=Qd−Qs\text{Shortage} = Q_d - Q_sShortage=Qd​−Qs​ 1 mark

    • Shortage=600,000−400,000\text{Shortage} = 600,000 - 400,000Shortage=600,000−400,000

    • Shortage=200,000 kg\text{Shortage} = 200,000 \text{ kg}Shortage=200,000 kg 1 mark

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    5.

    Using data from Table 1, calculate the real increase in GDP if investment spending rises by $500 million.

    [2]
    Verified
    Solution
    • ΔY=k×ΔI\Delta Y = k \times \Delta IΔY=k×ΔI 1 mark

    • ΔY=2.5×500\Delta Y = 2.5 \times 500ΔY=2.5×500

    • ΔY=1,250 million dollars\Delta Y = 1,250 \text{ million dollars}ΔY=1,250 million dollars 1 mark

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    6.

    Define the term comparative advantage.

    [2]
    Verified
    Solution
    • A country having lower opportunity costs 1 mark
    • in the production of a good compared to another country. 1 mark

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    7.

    Using the data in Table 2, calculate Alpha’s current account balance for 2016.

    [2]
    Verified
    Solution
    • Current Account=(Exports of Goods+Exports of Services)−(Imports of Goods+Imports of Services)+Net Investment Income+Net Current Transfers\text{Current Account} = (\text{Exports of Goods} + \text{Exports of Services}) - (\text{Imports of Goods} + \text{Imports of Services}) + \text{Net Investment Income} + \text{Net Current Transfers}Current Account=(Exports of Goods+Exports of Services)−(Imports of Goods+Imports of Services)+Net Investment Income+Net Current Transfers 1 mark

      =(852+409)−(829+435)+144+(−170)= (852 + 409) - (829 + 435) + 144 + (-170)=(852+409)−(829+435)+144+(−170)

      =1,261−1,264+144−170= 1,261 - 1,264 + 144 - 170=1,261−1,264+144−170

      =−29= -29=−29

    • Final Answer: −29-29−29 million (Current Account Deficit).1 mark

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    8.

    Draw a diagram to illustrate the impact of a price ceiling on market equilibrium.

    [2]
    Verified
    Solution

    Image

    • Price ceiling set below equilibrium 1 mark
    • Resulting shortage (excess demand) 1 mark

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    9.

    Explain why the current account balance might initially worsen following a currency depreciation but improve later.

    [4]
    Verified
    Solution
    • Inelastic demand for imports initially: Imports become expensive, but demand may not fall immediately. 1 mark
    • J-curve effect: In the short run, trade balance worsens due to price adjustments before volume changes. 1 mark
    • Export competitiveness improves later: As exports become cheaper, foreign demand rises. 1 mark
    • Marshall-Lerner condition: If demand for exports and imports is elastic enough, depreciation improves the current account in the long run. 1 mark

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