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    **Economic Growth in Vietnam**

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    HLPaper 2

    Economic Growth in Vietnam

    Vietnam has emerged as one of Asia's most dynamic economies, achieving World Bank classification as an emerging middle-income nation through sustained rapid growth and development reforms. Vietnam's export-led growth strategy has capitalized on its competitive labor costs to build a robust manufacturing sector. As labor costs rose in China and other Asian economies, Vietnam attracted substantial foreign direct investment (FDI), particularly in textiles, electronics, and footwear, contributing significantly to its economic growth. Last year, textile and footwear exports, which constitute approximately 65% of total exports, grew by 12.3%.

    The manufacturing sector's expansion has played a crucial role in Vietnam's poverty reduction efforts, creating millions of jobs that enabled families to invest in education and improve living standards across generations. However, Vietnam faces increasing regional competition in manufacturing, particularly from emerging economies like Bangladesh and Myanmar in the textile sector. Recent minimum wage adjustments have prompted concerns from industry stakeholders about potential investor relocations to lower-cost markets.

    Recognizing the need for diversification, the Vietnamese government has implemented an ambitious industrial modernization policy. This strategy aims to transition from labor-intensive manufacturing to higher value-added production, emphasizing technology adoption, SME development, regulatory improvements, and enhanced business environment reforms.

    Despite progress, significant challenges persist. Income disparities between urban centers like Ho Chi Minh City and Hanoi and rural provinces continue to widen. Gender inequality remains prevalent, with women facing barriers in accessing higher education, premium employment opportunities, and leadership positions in government institutions.

    Vietnam's labor market annually absorbs approximately 35,000 new entrants, yet many lack skills aligned with industry demands. While employment rates are high, informal and vulnerable employment remains common. Educational challenges persist - though primary school enrollment reaches 97%, secondary school completion rates hover around 35%, largely due to financial constraints.

    The rapid pace of industrialization and population growth has created significant environmental challenges. The textile and electronics manufacturing sectors, in particular, have been identified as major contributors to air and water pollution in industrial zones around Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City.

    [Source: adapted from Vietnam's Economic Rise: Manufacturing-Led Growth and Environmental Challenges, Asian Development Bank, 2023]

    Table 1: Vietnam's Export Growth and FDI Inflows

    YearTotal Exports (US$ billion)FDI Inflows (US$ billion)Manufacturing Contribution to GDP (%)Annual GDP Growth (%)
    2018238.015.240.56.5
    2020281.517.342.87.1
    2022336.322.145.27.8
    2024385.425.047.58.2

    Table 2: Regional Disparities in Vietnam

    RegionAverage Monthly Wage (US$)Secondary School Completion Rate (%)Poverty Rate (%)
    Ho Chi Minh City750653.2
    Hanoi720624.1
    Rural North3002818.6
    Rural South3203116.9

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