Question
HLPaper 1
1.[10]
Explain how an increase in firm's investment spending is likely to affect aggregate demand.
Verified
Solution
Answers may include:
Definition
- Investment (I): Expenditure by firms on capital goods (machinery, equipment, technology) aimed at increasing future production capacity.
- Aggregate Demand (AD): The total planned expenditure on goods and services in an economy at a given price level and in a given time period, represented by the formula .
- Multiplier Effect (optional if relevant): The process by which an initial injection (for example, investment) leads to a more than proportional increase in overall economic activity and hence a larger final increase in aggregate demand.
Explanation/Economic Theory
- Component of Aggregate Demand: Investment is a significant element of aggregate demand. An increase in investment, ceteris paribus, raises the “I” component in the formula.
- Injection into the Circular Flow: Higher investment spending acts as an injection into the circular flow of income. This injection raises the income of those producing capital goods, who may subsequently spend more on consumer goods and services (consumption), further increasing aggregate demand.
- Multiplier Effect: The initial rise in investment may create a chain of spending within the economy. The producers of capital goods spend part of their increased income on other goods and services, stimulating additional rounds of spending. This can amplify the impact of the initial investment, causing aggregate demand to rise by more than the initial increase in investment.
- Short-Run Impact: As firms invest, there is an immediate increase in aggregate demand. Higher demand for capital goods and the resulting boost in consumption from increased incomes both contribute to an upward shift in aggregate demand in the short run.
- Long-Run Considerations: While the question focuses on aggregate demand, increased investment can also improve an economy’s productive capacity over time, potentially affecting long-run aggregate supply. However, the direct and most immediate impact is an outward (rightward) shift of the AD curve.
Diagram
2.[15]
Using real-world examples, discuss the effectiveness of using supply-side policies in reducing unemployment.
Verified
Solution
Answers may include:
Definition
- Supply-side policies: Government initiatives designed to improve the quantity and/or quality of factors of production, aiming to increase the economy’s long-run productive capacity and shift the long-run aggregate supply (LRAS) curve to the right.
- Unemployment: The situation in which people who are actively seeking work are unable to find jobs.
- Structural unemployment (example of a specific unemployment type impacted by supply-side policies): Occurs when labor market rigidities, technological changes, or mismatches in skill sets prevent workers from finding employment.
Explanation/Economic Theory
- Supply-side policies focus on increasing an economy’s potential output by improving the productivity and efficiency of labor and capital. They include:
- Interventionist policies such as government spending on education, training, and infrastructure to boost workforce skills and reduce structural unemployment.
- Market-based policies such as labor market reforms (reducing trade union power, lowering minimum wages under certain conditions) and incentives for businesses (tax cuts, deregulation) to encourage investment and job creation.
- By increasing the productive capacity of the economy, these policies shift the LRAS curve to the right in the AD–AS model.
- A rightward shift in LRAS can lead to an increase in real output (from Y1 to Y2) if aggregate demand increases accordingly or remains stable.
- Potential unemployment reduction occurs because firms have a greater capacity to produce and hire more workers, especially if the labor force is better trained or if regulations are eased.
- Linking to unemployment types:
- Frictional unemployment may decrease if job-search processes are improved (e.g., better information, reduced bureaucracy).
- Structural unemployment may be mitigated if training and education align workers’ skills with modern industry requirements.
- Seasonal unemployment tends not to be significantly impacted by general supply-side policies but can be reduced if policies promote diversification of regional industries.
- Overall, these measures address the root causes of unemployment by targeting productivity and labor market flexibility, in contrast to demand-side policies that directly influence aggregate demand.
- However supply side policies fail to address cyclical unemployment which occur due to demand deficiencies.
Diagram
Evaluation
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Short-run and long-run impacts
- In the short run, supply-side policies may have limited immediate effects on unemployment because training, infrastructure development, or deregulation can take time to implement.
- In the long run, improved labor productivity, better infrastructure, and increased investment incentives can significantly reduce structural and frictional unemployment by aligning labor skills with market needs.
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Real-world examples
- Germany’s vocational training programs (2000s–present)
- Intensive apprenticeship systems helped workers develop specialized skills, reducing structural unemployment in manufacturing and engineering sectors.
- Unemployment rates dropped from above 9% in the early 2000s to around 5% by the late 2010s, partly attributed to well-structured supply-side measures.
- United Kingdom labor market reforms (early 2000s onward):
- Reduction of regulations and encouragement of flexible labor contracts helped businesses adapt quickly, boosting employment in service and technology industries.
- Unemployment rate fell to approximately 4% by 2019, although concerns remain about job security and wage stagnation.
- South Korea’s infrastructure and R&D investment (post-2000):
- Large-scale technology investments and improved infrastructure supported emerging industries, creating job opportunities in electronics, AI, and automotive sectors.
- Unemployment rates remained comparatively low (3–4%) due to strengthened industrial competitiveness.
- Germany’s vocational training programs (2000s–present)
Conclusion
- Supply-side policies can effectively reduce unemployment in the long term by addressing fundamental constraints on productivity and labor market inefficiencies.
- However, the short-run benefits may be limited, and outcomes depend on consistent implementation, adequate funding, and complementary demand-side conditions.
- Supply side policies are ineffective to demand deficient unemployment (cyclical), and thereby will require fiscal policies and/or monetary policies as well to effectively address uenmployment.
- When applied with sufficient resources and paired with appropriate demand-side support, supply-side policies can contribute to sustained reductions in unemployment while promoting economic growth.