4.2 Types of Trade Protection Questionbank

Albania is a country in Southeastern Europe with an estimated population of about 2.8 million in 2022. The Albanian economy has been transitioning from a centrally planned system to a market-based system and has experienced positive real GDP growth in recent years. Tourism is a significant contributor to Albania’s GDP, and the government has intensified efforts to promote the country’s attractions along its Adriatic and Ionian coasts.

In 2022, Albania’s unemployment rate was around 12%, partly due to structural challenges in the economy. The government operates a progressive personal income tax system, with rates ranging from 0% up to 23%. Corporate income tax is set at 15%. Value-added tax (VAT) on most goods and services stands at 20%.

Albania’s trade balance remains negative, as the country’s main exports (textiles, footwear, and mineral fuels) have not kept pace with imports (machinery, food, and manufactured goods). The government has embarked on several infrastructural projects to attract foreign investment and reduce transport costs, including a newly announced US$200 million investment in highways. Economists estimate the marginal propensity to consume (MPC) in Albania to be about 0.8.

Table 1: Selected Macroeconomic Indicators for Albania

Table 2: Tourism Data in Albania (2022)

Guatemala is a Central American country with an estimated population of 17.9 million (2022). According to World Bank data, real GDP was approximately US$85 billion in 2022. Agriculture, particularly coffee, sugar, and bananas, makes up a significant portion of Guatemala’s exports (around 28% of total exports). While the tourism sector has been expanding, recent global events caused slowdowns. The country experiences persistent inequality, with a Gini coefficient estimated at about 0.48 in 2021. Poverty remains a major concern, especially in rural areas.

Guatemala’s tax system includes both direct and indirect taxes, although collection remains challenging. Personal income tax rates are progressive, with a top rate of 31%, while the corporate income tax rate is 25%. A value-added tax (VAT) of 12% applies to most goods. Government spending has focused on infrastructure and social programs to reduce poverty and increase potential long-term growth.

Table 1: Macroeconomic Indicators of Guatemala (2019–2022)

Table 2: Income Distribution in Guatemala (2021)

Table 3: Market for Guatemalan Coffee in the US (price per 50 kg bag)

Table 4: Tax Rates in Guatemala

Figure 1 (not drawn here) shows that, when government spending in Guatemala increases by US$1 billion, real GDP rises by an estimated US$2.5 billion. This suggests a government spending multiplier of 2.5.

CASE STUDY: Economic Developments and Challenges in Azerbaijan

1. Azerbaijan, situated at the crossroads of Eastern Europe and Western Asia, has experienced significant economic reforms over the past decade. Historically reliant on hydrocarbons-mainly oil and natural gas—for export revenues, the country has sought to diversify its production base through agriculture, tourism, and technology sectors. In 2019, oil and gas accounted for about 85% of Azerbaijan's total exports, providing substantial government revenue but leaving the country vulnerable to global commodity price fluctuations.

2. In recent years, policymakers have introduced multiple initiatives to modernize infrastructure and reduce dependence on hydrocarbons. Between 2019 and 2022, the government invested over US$3 billion in roads, railways, and energy transmission lines, aiming to expand the country's capacity to produce and transport goods. According to the State Statistical Committee, Azerbaijan's real GDP grew by 2.2% in 2020 and rebounded to 4.6% in 2022, partly due to a recovery in global oil prices. However, structural unemployment persists, especially in rural areas, where older agricultural practices lag behind modern production techniques.

3. Inflation, driven by rising global commodity costs, reached 8.4% in 2022, up from 2.6% in 2019. The Central Bank of Azerbaijan responded with conservative monetary policies that have stabilized the exchange rate of the Azerbaijani manat. Meanwhile, the government introduced tariffs on certain imported agricultural goods in 2021, aiming to protect local farmers from competition and stimulate domestic production. Critics argue that these tariffs lead to higher prices for consumers, while supporters believe they create incentives for farmers to modernize and invest in capital-intensive farming techniques.

4. Foreign direct investment (FDI) centered on the energy sector remains strong, although officials are eager to attract in manufacturing and services. Improvements in transport connectivity-facilitated by ongoing infrastructure projects-have encouraged discussions about further liberalizing trade regulations to boost exports of textiles, food products, and tech services. Yet logistical barriers at border checkpoints persist, contributing to delays and raising costs for exporters looking to access regional markets.

5. Socially, Azerbaijan has implemented targeted measures to address income inequality, including subsidies for utilities and food staples. Observers note that the impact of these subsidies can be uneven; while they help low-income households cope with rising prices, they can also create fiscal pressure if oil revenues decline. The government has recently introduced pilot programs that tie subsidies to specific income thresholds, with the objective of reducing misuse of public funds.

6. Despite ambitious diversification plans, the oil sector continues to dominate. Economic analysts warn that reliance on hydrocarbons could impede sustainable growth, especially if global oil prices weaken or external demand slows. As part of its long-term development strategy, the government is promoting investment in green energy, incentivizing solar and wind power projects in the hope of creating new export opportunities for electricity.

7. Nonetheless, concerns about structural unemployment remain. Skill mismatches persist between job seekers and the needs of modern industries, particularly in the technology sector. Rural-urban migration has become more common, pressuring housing and public services in Baku, while leaving some villages with labor shortages. Recognizing these challenges, the Ministry of Education has partnered with private companies to revamp vocational education programs, aiming to align training with rapidly evolving market demands.

Table 1: Selected Macroeconomic Indicators for Azerbaijan (2019-2022)

Table 2: Trade and Social Indicators

QUESTIONS

Estonia is a small Baltic nation of approximately 1.3 million people and a member of the European Union (EU). Its economy is characterized by a highly developed digital infrastructure, a strong commitment to innovation, and comparatively low public debt. The country has seen notable growth in service sectors such as tourism and information technology (IT). Estonia is also known for its relatively low level of corruption and ease of doing business.

In recent years, Estonia’s GDP growth has fluctuated. Between 2018 and 2019, real GDP grew steadily due to robust exports of IT services and growth in inbound tourism. However, the global economic slowdown in 2020 led to lower tourism revenues, affecting the country’s overall economic performance. Income inequality has been an area of focus for policymakers, given Estonia’s Gini coefficient has been moderate but slowly increasing. The government maintains several forms of taxation (including VAT, personal income tax, and corporate taxation), each contributing differently to government revenue.

Tourism is an important source of income, especially from visitors from Finland, Russia, and other EU countries. Average spending per tourist has tended to rise, but so have accommodation and transportation costs. The price elasticity of demand for inbound tourism is not negligible, as changes in travel costs and exchange rates influence tourist flows.

Estonia’s taxation system includes a flat personal income tax rate of 20%, although there are discussions about introducing progressive elements. VAT rates vary depending on the product category. Meanwhile, the government has contemplated expansionary fiscal measures to offset slower growth periods. Policymakers also debate the efficacy of supply-side policies (such as reducing labor taxes and encouraging business start-ups) to maintain Estonia’s competitiveness in the global digital economy.

Table 1: Selected Macroeconomic Indicators for Estonia (2018–2021)

Table 2: Estimated Demand for Inbound Tourism (annual)

Table 3: Government Tax Data (2021)

Table 4: Consumption and Multiplier Data (2021)

Table 5 shows selected items of the balance of payments for Laylaland in 2020. Figures are in millions of US dollars (US$).

Table 5

Laylaland has a current account deficit of US$1865 million.

Chia seeds are an agricultural good produced in many countries and priced in US dollars (US$).

Figure 1 illustrates the market for chia seeds in a small country called Nofiberland. D is the domestic demand and S is the domestic supply for chia seeds. Chia seeds can be initially imported at the current world price of US$15.00 per kg. Sw is therefore the world supply faced in Nofiberland with free trade. To protect Nofiberland producers, the government decides to impose a US$6.00 tariff on chia seed imports. St is therefore the world supply faced in Nofiberland after the tariff is imposed.

Figure 1

Quinoa is a great source of protein and is thus considered a “super food”. As a result, the demand for quinoa in advanced economies has lately been rising very fast while global supply has not changed. A small country called Proteinland gets 80 % of its export revenues from exporting quinoa to advanced economies.

Denmark is a highly developed economy in Northern Europe with a population of about 5.9 million. It boasts one of the highest standards of living in the world, supported by a broad-based welfare system and progressive taxation. The service sector, advanced manufacturing, and renewable-energy technology form key parts of its economy. Denmark’s central bank has maintained low interest rates, helping to foster economic stability. However, challenges such as ensuring long-term sustainability of the welfare system and addressing potential future energy shortfalls remain.

Exports are crucial for Denmark’s economic success, with wind turbines, pharmaceuticals, and meat products contributing significantly to export revenues. Wind turbine manufacturers in Denmark have become global leaders, but recent shifts in global demand and competition from Asian producers have tested the capacity of local firms. Meanwhile, a high rate of personal and corporate income tax has provided funds for extensive public expenditure, including education, healthcare, and infrastructure.

Table 1: Selected Macroeconomic Indicators for Denmark (2022–2023)

Table 2: Market for Wind Turbines Produced in Denmark

Table 3: Income Distribution in Denmark (2022)

Table 4: Overview of Tax Rates in Denmark

In 2023, an energy-infrastructure firm in Denmark is planning a major investment worth 1.2 billion DKK, and claims it could significantly boost the economy by generating additional consumption expenditures.

Wind Turbine Exports
Denmark exported 70 units of wind turbines at an average price of 11,000,000 DKK per unit to other European countries in 2022. Owing to rising demand for renewable energy worldwide, the price of wind turbines exported from Denmark is expected to rise from 11,000,000 DKK to 12,000,000 DKK per unit in 2023. However, global competition from producers in Asia might cause changes in the quantity demanded.

Fiji is an archipelago located in the South Pacific, known for its thriving tourism industry and longstanding sugar sector. Tourism directly and indirectly accounts for nearly 38% of Fiji’s gross domestic product (GDP), making it one of the country’s main sources of foreign exchange. The island nation receives over 800 000 international visitors in a normal (non-pandemic) year, with most tourists arriving from Australia and New Zealand. However, dependence on tourism also makes Fiji vulnerable to external shocks such as global economic downturns or natural disasters.

The sugar industry is the second-largest contributor to Fiji’s export earnings, employing workers in growing, harvesting, and processing sugarcane. Due to changing weather patterns and competition from other sugar-producing nations, sugar production in Fiji faces challenges in expanding supply. In an effort to diversify government revenue, Fiji applies a 9% value added tax (VAT) on domestic sugar sales.

In 2022, the Fijian government announced a 200 million FJD infrastructure investment program aimed at improving rural roads, upgrading port facilities, and modernizing sugar processing plants. Economists estimate Fiji’s marginal propensity to consume (MPC) at 0.75, suggesting a potentially significant boost to aggregate demand if the infrastructure spending is effectively implemented.

Table 1: Key Macroeconomic Indicators for Fiji (2019–2020)

Table 2: Sugar Market Data in Fiji

Additional Information

• Fiji’s VAT on sugar is 9%.
• The government’s total planned infrastructure investment in 2022 is 200 million FJD.
• Economists estimate Fiji’s MPC = 0.75.
• Corporate tax rate is 20%.
• Personal income tax is a progressive system up to 20%.

Estonia is a small, high-income European country with a population of around 1.33 million. The Estonian economy is highly open, with exports accounting for a large share of its GDP. In 2021, Estonia’s real GDP was approximately €34.5 billion, growing by 8.0%, while the 2022 figure rose to €36.4 billion, with real GDP growth of 3.5%. Over the same period, the unemployment rate declined from 6.2% to 5.6%.

Estonia is known for its advanced digital infrastructure, which has attracted investment in technology and services. However, inflation surged in 2022 due to global supply pressures and increased energy prices. Estonia has a relatively low level of income inequality compared to many countries, as measured by its Gini coefficient, which improved slightly from 0.31 in 2021 to around 0.30 in 2022.

Estonia’s tax system is characterized by a flat personal income tax rate of 20% and a 20% corporate tax on distributed profits. The government also raises revenue through value-added tax (VAT) at 20%, excise duties, and social security contributions of 33%. The timber industry plays a significant role in Estonian exports; higher prices for timber have contributed to fluctuations in export earnings.

Below are three tables presenting selected data for the Estonian economy:

Table 1: Selected Macroeconomic Indicators for Estonia (2021–2022)

Table 2: Timber Market Data in Estonia

Table 3: Tax Revenue in Estonia (2022)

Greenland, an autonomous territory of Denmark, is the world’s largest island with a population of about 56000 people. The economy relies heavily on fisheries (accounting for more than 90% of Greenland’s total exports), public sector services financed through grants from Denmark, and (increasingly) tourism. Recent explorations suggest that Greenland has untapped reserves of minerals and rare earth elements. However, high infrastructure costs and environmental considerations pose challenges to diversification.

Real GDP growth has been volatile due to changes in global demand for fish products and fluctuations in fish prices, while the population faces income inequality concerns. Recent debates in Greenland’s Parliament (Inatsisartut) focus on reforms to taxation and public spending, seeking to foster inclusive economic growth and reduce income disparities.

Table 1: Key Macroeconomic Indicators of Greenland (2018–2021)

Table 2: Fish Exports Data (2019–2021)

Table 3: Income Distribution and Taxation(2021)

Figure 1: Simplified market for Greenlandic Halibut (2021)

Prices are measured in DKK per tonne. Demand (D) and supply (S) represent domestic demand and supply. Pw1 is the initial world price of 28 000 DKK per tonne, while Pw2 is a possible world price of 30 000 DKK per tonne.

Japan–European Union Economic Partnership Agreement (JEEPA)

1. In July 2017, the Japan–European Union Economic Partnership Agreement (JEEPA) was announced and it may come into force in 2019. Jointly, Japan and the European Union (EU) currently account for 28 % of global gross domestic product (GDP). The trade agreement could raise the EU’s exports to Japan by 34 % and Japan’s exports to the EU by 29 %. Economists say that this trade agreement marks a determined effort to combat rising protectionism and sends a powerful signal that cooperation, not trade protection, is the way to tackle global challenges.

2. The largest benefit to Japan will be for Japanese car manufacturers, as Europe will gradually lower tariffs from 10 % on Japanese cars. Car tariffs are a big concern for Japanese car manufacturers, who struggle to compete with South Korean car manufacturers. South Korean cars are sold to the EU tariff-free thanks to a free trade agreement signed in 2011. Within Europe, car manufacturers are one of the largest sources of jobs. Car manufacturers in the EU are concerned that cutting tariffs on car imports from Japan may lead to a large increase of Japanese cars into the European market.

3. The trade agreement will also resolve non-tariff barriers, such as technical requirements and regulations. More importantly, however, the EU and Japan will make their environmental and safety standards on cars the same, which will make trade easier.

4. Japanese politicians have been defending their relatively inefficient farmers for a long time. Now, Japan will lower tariffs on European meat, dairy products and wine, cutting 85 % of the tariffs on food products coming into Japan. This includes removing the current 30 % tariff on some European cheeses, such as cheddar and gouda cheese. However, imported camembert cheese will face a quota. This may be because Japan produces some camembert cheese.

5. JEEPA is particularly alarming for United States (US) beef and pork farmers because Japan has been the biggest export market for US beef and the second biggest export market for US pork. Any preferential tariff that EU farmers receive will make it much tougher for American farmers to sell meat in Japan.

6. With this trade agreement, the EU and Japan are trying to promote the values of economic cooperation and environmental conservation, which are both important for long-term economic growth and sustainability. However, JEEPA faces significant challenges because it will have to be passed by the Japanese Parliament, the European Parliament and European national governments. There is no guarantee that all governments will agree to the economic partnership.

Source: adapted from The Japan-EU Trade Agreement: Pushing Back Against Protectionism, http://globalriskinsights.com, 15 July 2017; Japan-EU trade agreement may hurt U.S. meat producers, by Katherine Hyunjung Lee, Jul 12, 2017, _Medill_ _News Service_, https://dc.medill.northwestern.edu; and A new trade deal between the EU and Japan, _The Economist_ (London, England), Jul 8th 2017, https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2017/07/08/a-new-trade-deal-between-the-eu-andjapan. © The Economist Newspaper Limited, London, July 8th 2017