2.7 Role of government in microeconomics Questionbank

Guatemala is a Central American country with an estimated population of 17.9 million (2022). According to World Bank data, real GDP was approximately US$85 billion in 2022. Agriculture, particularly coffee, sugar, and bananas, makes up a significant portion of Guatemala’s exports (around 28% of total exports). While the tourism sector has been expanding, recent global events caused slowdowns. The country experiences persistent inequality, with a Gini coefficient estimated at about 0.48 in 2021. Poverty remains a major concern, especially in rural areas.

Guatemala’s tax system includes both direct and indirect taxes, although collection remains challenging. Personal income tax rates are progressive, with a top rate of 31%, while the corporate income tax rate is 25%. A value-added tax (VAT) of 12% applies to most goods. Government spending has focused on infrastructure and social programs to reduce poverty and increase potential long-term growth.

Table 1: Macroeconomic Indicators of Guatemala (2019–2022)

Table 2: Income Distribution in Guatemala (2021)

Table 3: Market for Guatemalan Coffee in the US (price per 50 kg bag)

Table 4: Tax Rates in Guatemala

Figure 1 (not drawn here) shows that, when government spending in Guatemala increases by US$1 billion, real GDP rises by an estimated US$2.5 billion. This suggests a government spending multiplier of 2.5.

CASE STUDY: Economic Developments and Challenges in Azerbaijan

1. Azerbaijan, situated at the crossroads of Eastern Europe and Western Asia, has experienced significant economic reforms over the past decade. Historically reliant on hydrocarbons-mainly oil and natural gas—for export revenues, the country has sought to diversify its production base through agriculture, tourism, and technology sectors. In 2019, oil and gas accounted for about 85% of Azerbaijan's total exports, providing substantial government revenue but leaving the country vulnerable to global commodity price fluctuations.

2. In recent years, policymakers have introduced multiple initiatives to modernize infrastructure and reduce dependence on hydrocarbons. Between 2019 and 2022, the government invested over US$3 billion in roads, railways, and energy transmission lines, aiming to expand the country's capacity to produce and transport goods. According to the State Statistical Committee, Azerbaijan's real GDP grew by 2.2% in 2020 and rebounded to 4.6% in 2022, partly due to a recovery in global oil prices. However, structural unemployment persists, especially in rural areas, where older agricultural practices lag behind modern production techniques.

3. Inflation, driven by rising global commodity costs, reached 8.4% in 2022, up from 2.6% in 2019. The Central Bank of Azerbaijan responded with conservative monetary policies that have stabilized the exchange rate of the Azerbaijani manat. Meanwhile, the government introduced tariffs on certain imported agricultural goods in 2021, aiming to protect local farmers from competition and stimulate domestic production. Critics argue that these tariffs lead to higher prices for consumers, while supporters believe they create incentives for farmers to modernize and invest in capital-intensive farming techniques.

4. Foreign direct investment (FDI) centered on the energy sector remains strong, although officials are eager to attract in manufacturing and services. Improvements in transport connectivity-facilitated by ongoing infrastructure projects-have encouraged discussions about further liberalizing trade regulations to boost exports of textiles, food products, and tech services. Yet logistical barriers at border checkpoints persist, contributing to delays and raising costs for exporters looking to access regional markets.

5. Socially, Azerbaijan has implemented targeted measures to address income inequality, including subsidies for utilities and food staples. Observers note that the impact of these subsidies can be uneven; while they help low-income households cope with rising prices, they can also create fiscal pressure if oil revenues decline. The government has recently introduced pilot programs that tie subsidies to specific income thresholds, with the objective of reducing misuse of public funds.

6. Despite ambitious diversification plans, the oil sector continues to dominate. Economic analysts warn that reliance on hydrocarbons could impede sustainable growth, especially if global oil prices weaken or external demand slows. As part of its long-term development strategy, the government is promoting investment in green energy, incentivizing solar and wind power projects in the hope of creating new export opportunities for electricity.

7. Nonetheless, concerns about structural unemployment remain. Skill mismatches persist between job seekers and the needs of modern industries, particularly in the technology sector. Rural-urban migration has become more common, pressuring housing and public services in Baku, while leaving some villages with labor shortages. Recognizing these challenges, the Ministry of Education has partnered with private companies to revamp vocational education programs, aiming to align training with rapidly evolving market demands.

Table 1: Selected Macroeconomic Indicators for Azerbaijan (2019-2022)

Table 2: Trade and Social Indicators

QUESTIONS

Case Study: Germany’s Economy and Energy Transition in the Early 2020s

Germany, as Europe’s largest economy, has historically relied on its robust industrial sector, strong exports of machinery and automobiles, and high-value-added manufacturing. During the early 2020s, it faced a combination of opportunities and challenges. On the one hand, demand for German exports remained high in global markets, supported by a reputation for quality engineering. On the other hand, supply chain disruptions in semiconductors and rising energy prices, partly triggered by shifts in international energy markets and global uncertainties, weighed on industrial output.

In 2022, Germany recorded a nominal GDP of US$4.4 trillion, with real GDP growth at 1.8% a deceleration from the 2.5% reported in 2021. Average inflation rose to 7.5% in 2022, up from 3.2% the previous year. Some macroeconomists attributed this spike in inflation to a combination of higher global commodity prices, labor shortages, and an expansionary fiscal stance aimed at countering pandemic-related slowdowns. The government’s budget deficit reached 3.8% of GDP in 2022, spurred by increased health expenditures and targeted subsidies for certain industries, especially those transitioning to greener production methods.

A core focus of German policy has been the energy transition (“Energiewende”), which aims to phase out nuclear power while boosting renewable energy sources such as wind and solar. The government introduced new subsidies for households installing solar panels and for firms adopting more energy-efficient processes. Although these measures have helped reduce emissions, critics argue they impose higher short-term production costs on businesses. In 2022, approximately 46% of Germany’s electricity came from renewables, illustrating a notable increase compared to 35% five years earlier. Nevertheless, some economists worry about energy security, cautioning that reliance on imported natural gas may expose the economy to price volatility.

In microeconomic terms, the government has also promoted a minimum wage policy to address income inequality and stimulate productivity within the service sector. In 2021, the minimum wage was increased by almost 10%, affecting over 4 million workers. Critics claim that small businesses may struggle with higher labor costs, while proponents emphasize that increased household income boosts consumption. Moreover, with Germany’s aging population, policymakers have launched campaigns to attract high-skilled migrant labor to fill gaps in advanced manufacturing and technological innovation.

Internationally, Germany’s trade relationships with European Union partners remain pivotal. Its exporters benefit from lower intra-EU trade barriers, and the euro acts as a common currency among 20 member states. However, some German manufacturers report that demand is influenced by exchange rate fluctuations with non-eurozone trading partners, particularly the United States and China. Before 2022, the euro experienced periods of depreciation against the U.S. dollar, making German exports more competitive globally.

With sustainability goals on the horizon, Germany has advanced plans to tax carbon-intensive production and invest in green infrastructure. Early results suggest an uptick in purchases of electric vehicles (EVs). A government-backed EV subsidy, set at €4,500 per vehicle, significantly lowered the price for consumers and led to a 30% increase in EV registrations from 2021 to 2022. Automotive firms quickly adapted supply chains to meet demand, though rising lithium and battery costs introduced uncertainties. In parallel, the government occasionally intervenes in energy markets to stabilize electricity prices and support households facing higher utility bills.

Many German economists expect moderate growth prospects in the coming years but emphasize caution due to potential external shocks such as geopolitical tensions and global financial volatility. The labor market, historically strong with an unemployment rate around 5.3% in 2022, could see pressure if foreign demand weakens. Nevertheless, policymakers remain focused on balancing green initiatives, fiscal prudence, and social welfare reforms. Their strategy includes maintaining Germany’s status as a leading export-driven economy, advancing climate objectives, and sustaining social protections.

Table 1: Germany’s Selected Macroeconomic Indicators

Table 2: Germany’s Energy and EV Transition Indicators

ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL DEVELOPMENTS IN BAHRAIN

Bahrain is a small island nation in the Arabian Gulf, known primarily for its petroleum exports, robust financial services sector, and ongoing economic reforms aiming to diversify its economy. Despite its relatively high per-capita income compared to many other countries in the region, concerns over income disparities and pockets of poverty have led policymakers to introduce a variety of measures aimed at achieving inclusive growth.

In 2019, Bahrain’s government launched an initiative to reduce its reliance on crude oil exports, which historically contributed over 70% of total revenue. As of 2022, this share has declined to about 55%, aided by growth in sectors such as tourism, logistics, and information technology. Real GDP growth averaged 4.3% between 2019 and 2022, and inflation remained moderate, hovering around 2.1% in 2022. During the same period, the government also began phasing out universal subsidies on wheat and electricity, replacing them with more targeted assistance programs. Policymakers argue that such targeted subsidies are more effective in reaching low-income groups, while critics fear the resulting price increases may slow consumption.

On the social front, growing awareness about poverty has led to increased attention on improving human capital. Official figures estimate that approximately 7% of Bahrain’s population remains below the national poverty line, a percentage that has shown slow but steady decline over the past decade. Government officials hope to address the “poverty cycle,” where low income leads to low levels of education and productivity, in turn perpetuating poverty across generations. Recent policy discussions also center around improving labor market participation by women, who currently make up only 38% of the total workforce.

Foreign direct investment (FDI) is seen as a catalyst for economic diversification. Since 2020, Bahrain has attracted new investments in financial technology firms, signaling a shift toward knowledge-based industries. However, rising external debt (now at 92% of GDP) has raised concerns about fiscal stability. Analysts note that effective management of government spending, coupled with continued structural reforms, may be critical in maintaining investor confidence.

In terms of international trade, Bahrain is a member of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), benefiting from reduced trade barriers within neighboring countries. The government is also exploring free trade agreements with Asian partners to expand its export base beyond hydrocarbons. Some local producers, however, express concerns that sudden liberalization of trade could expose them to greater competition, especially in agricultural outputs.

Bahrain’s Vision 2030 plan places strong emphasis on human development and social welfare. Education funding has grown by 5% annually over the last three years, and new vocational programs aim to upskill workers to meet private sector needs. The government has also introduced a modest value-added tax (VAT) of 5% on luxury goods, hoping that it will generate additional revenue without placing too much burden on low-income households.

Despite these efforts, income inequality persists, reflected in a Gini coefficient estimated at 0.39 in 2022. Policymakers believe continued refinements in subsidy targeting, investment in health-care and education, and support for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) will be key in reducing inequality. Critics, however, argue that infrastructural spending particularly on large-scale projects risks diverting funds away from social programs needed to tackle persistent poverty.

The government acknowledges that more inclusive policies are necessary to ensure that marginalized groups share in the benefits of economic growth. As part of its efforts, authorities are discussing the possibility of introducing small-scale microfinance schemes to foster entrepreneurship among low-income communities. Whether these measures will be sufficient to break the cycle of poverty depends on the ongoing balance between encouraging private sector investment and providing a safety net for the most vulnerable.

Below are two sets of data reflecting Bahrain’s macroeconomic indicators and social development indicators, which inform much of the current debate on how best to achieve sustainable growth with equity.

Table 1: Bahrain’s Selected Macroeconomic Indicators (2019–2022)

Table 2: Poverty and Development Indicators for Bahrain

Economic Developments and Challenges in Ethiopia

Ethiopia, located in the Horn of Africa, has undergone rapid economic transformation in recent years. From 2015 to 2022, the country’s real GDP growth averaged approximately 7.5% per annum, largely driven by an expansion in the services sector and increased investment in infrastructure. Coffee remains Ethiopia’s largest export commodity, accounting for about 25% of total export earnings. Yet, recurring droughts, coupled with a high population growth rate of nearly 2.7% per year, have heightened concerns about food security and rural poverty.

Government programs, such as the Growth and Transformation Plans (GTP I and GTP II), have prioritized industrialization, infrastructure development, and agricultural modernization. Although these programs stimulated some growth in the manufacturing sector, limited foreign currency reserves and inflationary pressures have posed major challenges. Ethiopia’s inflation rate peaked at around 35% in 2021 due to a combination of supply shocks, global commodity price increases, and expansionary monetary policy. The National Bank of Ethiopia has since adopted tighter monetary measures to reduce inflation. However, small businesses complain that tighter credit availability hinders their operations.

Despite sustained growth, Ethiopia’s Human Development Index (HDI) remains relatively low, indicative of widespread poverty and inequality. An estimated 22% of the population lives below the national poverty line, while rural areas struggle with underemployment and limited access to clean water. The government has attempted to address these issues through rural electrification programs, improvements in primary education, and targeted social protection schemes. Nevertheless, inequality persists, and rising urban living costs make life difficult for low-skilled workers in cities. Furthermore, frequent currency devaluations have increased the cost of imported inputs for domestic industries, prompting calls for greater export diversification beyond coffee and traditional agricultural products.

Ethiopia has also sought to enhance its global economic integration by reducing tariffs on specific manufacturing inputs and negotiating free trade agreements within regional blocs. These efforts, officials argue, accelerate the country’s transition from a largely agrarian economy to a more diversified one, while attracting foreign direct investment (FDI) into industrial parks. However, bureaucratic bottlenecks and limited infrastructure in some regions—especially inadequate road and rail networks—remain obstacles to realizing Ethiopia’s transformative goals.

Table 1: Selected Macroeconomic Indicators (2018–2021)

Table 2: Poverty Indicators and Development Measures

ECONOMIC REALITIES AND POLICIES IN BANGLADESH

Bangladesh is a rapidly developing country in South Asia, recognized for its thriving ready-made garment (RMG) industry, which accounts for over 80% of export earnings. Government reforms since the early 2000s, aimed at boosting export competitiveness, have led to steady gains in real GDP. For instance, between 2019 and 2022, Bangladesh’s real GDP growth averaged 5.2% annually. However, persistent challenges such as high rural poverty rates (officially at 20.1%, with extreme poverty at 10.5%) and vulnerability to climate risks continue to threaten inclusive growth.

Remittances form a major pillar of the economy, totaling over US$24 billion in 2021. Inflows from the Bangladeshi diaspora support household consumption and reduce external vulnerabilities, contributing to the country’s foreign currency reserves. Even so, the government has been concerned about maintaining exchange rate stability, especially in light of global inflationary pressures and supply chain disruptions, which have driven up the cost of essential imports like fuel and machinery. To cope with rising expenditures on food and energy, the government raised tariffs on luxury goods while restricting administrative barriers for essential commodity imports.

On the microeconomic front, the government recently introduced a consumption tax on sweetened beverages to curb rapidly rising obesity rates. Local bottlers initially protested the policy, arguing it would reduce their profits and force layoffs in urban factories. Yet public health advocates insist that the potential long-term social benefits reduced health-care costs and a healthier workforce outweigh the short-term economic costs. Meanwhile, targeted subsidies on fertilizers aim to support agricultural productivity; farmers in the northern regions have long claimed that lack of affordable inputs restricts their ability to increase crop yields and incomes.

Bangladesh’s push for infrastructure improvements particularly in roads, ports, and energy has attracted modest but growing foreign direct investment (FDI), totaling around US$2.8 billion in 2022. Corporate tax incentives are given to firms that establish manufacturing plants in special economic zones, spurring output in electronics and pharmaceuticals. Yet the domestic labor force often lacks specialized skills, leading to high underemployment. The government’s Skills for Employment Initiative, launched in 2020, aims to address these gaps by providing technical training and apprenticeships to youths aged 18–30.

Concurrently, there are ongoing debates on reducing import tariffs further to encourage greater participation in regional trade blocs. Economists highlight that a more liberalized trade environment can improve access to cheaper raw materials for local industries. Critics, however, worry that swiftly removing tariffs might destabilize nascent domestic firms already grappling with competition from established foreign producers.

Bangladesh faces significant environmental and developmental hurdles. Climate change-related floods frequently destroy crops, thereby exacerbating rural poverty. Government officials have begun working with international donors to finance climate-resilient infrastructure elevated roads and flood barriers while also supporting microfinance programs targeted at poor households. These policies seek to break the vicious cycle of poverty, whereby low incomes lead to low investments in education and productivity, perpetuating underdevelopment. Early signs suggest that expanded access to small loans, particularly for female entrepreneurs, is reducing extreme poverty in several flood-prone districts.

Despite these efforts, inequalities persist. In urban areas, the Gini coefficient remains relatively high, reflecting income gaps within the service sector. Doctors and engineers earn significantly above the national average, boosting demand for private education that many poor households cannot afford. The government has tried to bridge this inequality by directing additional funds to public schools, focusing on science and technology curricula.

The prospects for Bangladesh hinge on effective policy coordination. Balancing short-term macroeconomic stability such as keeping inflation below 8% with long-term structural reforms in education, infrastructure, and trade policy remains a central challenge. The government’s ability to manage environmental risks, attract investment, and provide social protection will greatly influence whether Bangladesh can transition from a lower-middle-income to a higher-income country in the coming decades.

Table 1: Selected Macroeconomic Indicators for Bangladesh (2019–2022)

Table 2: Development and Social Indicators for Bangladesh

Greece’s Economic Recovery Challenges

Greece, situated in Southeastern Europe, is a member of the European Union (EU) and the Eurozone. The country has long relied on tourism, shipping, and agriculture as key contributors to its economy. Over the past decade, Greece has implemented significant economic reforms in collaboration with international organizations to address high public debt levels and modernize its economic structure. While progress has been made in improving macroeconomic stability, challenges persist, including unemployment, income inequality, and persistent pockets of poverty.

Recent data indicates that Greece’s public debt hovers around 180% of its GDP, reflecting many years of high government borrowing and subsequent bailout agreements. A portion of government spending is directed toward subsidies on basic goods such as electricity and certain food staples to support low-income households. Nevertheless, critics argue that some subsidies are not well-targeted, occasionally benefitting higher-income groups. The official unemployment rate had declined to 11.5% by the end of 2022 from more severe levels above 20% a few years ago, yet youth unemployment remains elevated at about 24%.

In microeconomic terms, the government recently proposed increasing the national minimum wage by 5% to address wage stagnation and boost consumption. Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) are concerned about possible higher labor costs, but government officials believe that stronger domestic consumption could lead to increased revenue for businesses. Meanwhile, the shipping sector remains a cornerstone of Greece’s export revenue, with over 17% of global shipping capacity estimated to be Greek-owned. Tourism also plays a crucial role, accounting for roughly one-fifth of employment, especially on the islands. In 2022, Greece welcomed 27 million international visitors, contributing to sustained demand for the euro in foreign exchange markets.

Despite these positives, poverty remains a pressing issue. According to a government report, around 13% of the Greek population lives below the national poverty line, with limited access to quality education and health-care. Rural areas often face inadequate infrastructure, limiting people’s opportunity to break the cycle of poverty. In response, local authorities, in partnership with the EU, have earmarked funds to improve educational outcomes, particularly in disadvantaged communities.

External trade is another dynamic area for Greece. Although the country’s current account deficit has narrowed, administrative barriers sometimes hamper further export diversification. Foreign direct investment (FDI) flows have been volatile since 2020 but showed signs of recovery in late 2022, especially in the tourism infrastructure and renewable energy sectors. Policymakers argue that consistent structural reforms, including more flexible labor markets and enhanced regulatory transparency, are crucial for sustaining investors’ interest and fueling long-term economic growth.

In the long run, Greece’s economic strategy focuses on reducing public debt, supporting targeted subsidies for vulnerable groups, and encouraging investment in key sectors like tourism, shipping, and renewable energy. The government also hopes that improvements in education and health-care especially in remote areas will address human capital deficiencies and weaken the persistently high poverty rate. The success of these policies will depend on the country’s ability to balance its short-term priorities (such as unemployment reduction and consumer protection) with long-term fiscal sustainability and structural transformation.

Below are two tables providing selected economic and social indicators for Greece:

Table 1: Greece’s Selected Macroeconomic Indicators (2019–2022)

Table 2: Development and Social Indicators for Greece

Recent Economic Trends in Chile

Chile, located along the western coast of South America, is widely regarded as one of the region’s most stable and prosperous nations. With a population of around 19 million, the country boasts a successful track record in macroeconomic management, marked by consistent economic growth and relatively low government debt levels. However, ongoing shifts in global trade, fluctuating copper prices, and recent policy reforms have brought new challenges to Chile’s economy.

In 2022, Chile recorded an average monthly wage of approximately US$600, though the cost of living in major urban centers such as Santiago continues to rise. To maintain price stability, the Central Bank of Chile has long operated an inflation-targeting regime, typically aiming for annual inflation close to 3%. Yet external pressures—like disruptions to global supply chains—pushed the inflation rate up to 7.2% in 2022. Unemployment remains a pressing issue; following a peak of 10.7% in 2020 when economic activity contracted, joblessness has gradually declined as the economy recovers.

Chile’s economic identity is strongly tied to mining, particularly copper, which accounts for a significant proportion of export revenues. In 2022, approximately 45% of total exports came from copper and other minerals. While copper has been a major driver of economic growth, economists and policymakers increasingly emphasize diversification to protect against commodity price volatility. The government has also expanded support for agricultural and service industries, promoting increased global competitiveness through various trade agreements with North American and Asian partners.

On the fiscal side, Chile historically prided itself on low government debt, yet debt levels have slowly risen to 37% of GDP by 2022. This reflects higher spending on social programs, including public healthcare and education subsidies. Policymakers are attempting to strike a balance between prudent fiscal management and ensuring equitable access to basic services. In the microeconomic arena, Chile introduced an excise tax on sugar-sweetened beverages to discourage unhealthy consumption and reduce negative externalities tied to rising obesity rates.

Foreign direct investment (FDI) flows remain relatively stable in non-mining ventures, particularly in renewable energy sectors such as solar and wind. The government has enacted regulatory changes that encourage private-sector participation in green investments, hoping to lessen reliance on fossil fuels. Analysts predict that over the next decade, renewable energy might comprise up to 30% of Chile’s energy mix, helping the country manage environmental externalities while sustaining long-term economic growth.

Despite Chile’s liberalized trade regime, some domestic industries face competitiveness hurdles from global market fluctuations. The peso’s exchange rate is influenced by copper prices. Therefore, this has spurred officials to pursue greater diversification.

Income distribution remains a topic of debate. Chile has recorded improvements in its Gini coefficient over the past decade, yet inequalities persist—especially in rural areas where access to education and healthcare lags behind that in urban regions. Government initiatives to raise the minimum wage and invest in vocational training signal attempts to address income disparities, which some critics argue need more comprehensive policies.

Private enterprise plays a central role in Chile’s leading export industries. In the mining sector, large multinational firms partner with domestic companies, creating jobs and contributing to government revenue. Nevertheless, critics point to environmental costs from mining activities and the need for stricter regulations to ensure sustainable resource use. Many also question whether enough investments are being channeled into non-traditional sectors like technology and advanced manufacturing—areas widely seen as key to sustainable future growth.

Moving forward, Chile’s policy landscape continues to evolve. Discussions about strengthening social safety nets, investing further in green energy, and maintaining a competitive exchange rate occupy center stage. The government’s approach to promoting inclusive development includes balancing social spending with structural reforms that attract both domestic and foreign investors. Ultimately, Chile’s ability to diversify its economy beyond copper and ensure equity across various regions will determine its long-term path to stable and inclusive growth.

Table 1: Chile’s Macroeconomic Indicators (2019–2022)

Table 2: Chile’s Export Composition (2022)