A tree diagram models three outcomes on the first roll of a loaded die: with a probability of , with a probability of , and with a probability of . If occurs, the second roll has a success probability of ; otherwise, the success probability is . Find the probability of success in the second roll.
[3]A probability tree for a medical test shows that the disease prevalence in a population is . The test provides a true positive result with a probability of and a false positive result with a probability of .
Calculate the probability that a randomly selected person from this population tests positive.
[3]