Demographic Shifts Lead to Sizable Social Implications
Demographic shift
A demographic shift refers to changes in the characteristics of a population over time, including its size, age structure, family composition, and sex ratios.
- These shifts are influenced by factors like birth rates, death rates, migration, and social norms.
- They have profound implications for economies, societies, and policies.
Family Size: Shrinking in HICs and MICs, Larger in LICs
Why Are Families Shrinking in HICs and MICs?
- In High-Income Countries (HICs), family sizes decreased significantly and have been low over the past decades. Currently the same process is taking place in MICs, especially in Upper Middle-Income Countries.
- This trend is driven by several factors:
- Economic Costs: Raising children is expensive, with costs including education, healthcare, and housing
- Cultural Change: Emancipation of women combined with other factors allowed them to make independent decisions about life-style choices, reproductive health, marriages, etc.
- Career Priorities: Many individuals delay or forgo having children to focus on careers.
- Access to Contraception: Widespread availability of family planning allows for greater control over reproduction.
- Urbanization: In urban areas, space is limited, making large families less feasible.

- In Japan, the average household size has fallen from 4.14 in 1960 to 2.33 in 2020.
- This decline reflects broader societal shifts towards smaller families.
Why Do Families Remain Larger in LICs?
- In Low-Income Countries (LICs), family sizes tend to be larger due to:
- Economic Benefits: Children often contribute to household income through labor.
- Cultural Norms: Traditions may emphasize large families as a sign of prosperity.
- Gender Roles: Women are more likely to remain in their traditional roles, especially in rural areas.
- Limited Access to Education: Lower education levels, especially for women, correlate with higher fertility rates.
- High Infant and Children Mortality: Families may have more children to ensure some survive to adulthood.
In Nigeria, the average family size remains around 5.3, reflecting economic and cultural factors that encourage larger households.
TipRemember, family size is not just an economic choice - it's deeply influenced by cultural and social norms.
Sex Ratios: Skewed by Gender Preferences
Sex ratio
The sex ratio is the number of males per 100 females in a population.
- A natural sex ratio at birth is approximately 105 males to 100 females.