Exponential Models and Half-Life
Exponential models are widely used in Math AI to describe phenomena that exhibit rapid growth or decay.
ExampleOne of the most common applications is in calculating half-life, which is particularly useful in fields like nuclear physics and pharmacology.
The general form of an exponential model is:
$$f(x) = a \cdot b^x$$
where $a$ is the initial value, $b$ is the base (usually $e$ for natural exponential functions), and $x$ is the independent variable.
For half-life calculations, we often use the decay form:
$$N(t) = N_0 \cdot e^{-\lambda t}$$
where:
- $N(t)$ is the quantity at time $t$
- $N_0$ is the initial quantity
- $\lambda$ is the decay constant.
In a radioactive decay problem, if we have 100 grams of a substance with a half-life of 5 hours, we can model this as:
$N(t) = 100 \cdot e^{-(\ln 2 / 5)t}$
To find the amount left after 12 hours:
$N(12) = 100 \cdot e^{-(\ln 2 / 5) \cdot 12} \approx 29.3$ grams
TipRemember that the half-life $T_{1/2}$ is related to the decay constant $\lambda$ by the equation:
$T_{1/2} = \frac{\ln 2}{\lambda}$
Natural Logarithmic Models
Natural logarithmic models are used when the rate of change of a quantity is inversely proportional to its current value. These models take the form:
$$f(x) = a + b \ln x$$
where:
- $a$ and $b$ are constants
- $\ln$ is the natural logarithm.
These models are particularly useful in scenarios involving:
- Sound intensity and perceived loudness
- pH scale in chemistry
- Earthquake magnitude on the Richter scale
The perceived loudness $L$ of a sound in relation to its intensity $I$ can be modeled as:
$L = 10 \log_{10}(\frac{I}{I_0})$
where $I_0$ is the reference intensity. This can be rewritten in the natural logarithmic form:
$L = 10 \cdot \frac{\ln(I/I_0)}{\ln(10)}$
NoteNatural logarithmic models often appear in situations where there's a diminishing return effect, such as the relationship between additional study time and improvement in test scores.
Sinusoidal Models
Sinusoidal models are used to describe periodic phenomena, such as sound waves, alternating current, and seasonal temperature variations. The general form is:
$$f(x) = a \sin(b(x-c)) + d$$
where:
- $a$ is the amplitude (half the distance between the maximum and minimum values)
- $b$ affects the period (which is $2\pi/b$ in radians)
- $c$ is the phase shift (horizontal translation)
- $d$ is the vertical shift (midline of the oscillation)
In the IB curriculum, radian measure is assumed for sinusoidal models unless otherwise stated.
ExampleTo model daily temperature fluctuations in a city where the temperature varies between 15°C and 25°C, with the highest temperature at 3 PM (15:00), we could use:
$T(t) = 5 \sin(\frac{\pi}{12}(t-15)) + 20$
Here, $t$ is the time in hours (0-24), 5 is the amplitude, $\pi/12$ gives a period of 24 hours, -15 shifts the peak to 3 PM, and 20 is the average temperature.
Common MistakeStudents often confuse the period and frequency. Remember, frequency is the reciprocal of the period. In radians, period = $2\pi/b$, while frequency = $b/2\pi$.
Logistic Models
Logistic models are used to describe growth in situations where there's a limit or carrying capacity. The general form is:
$$f(x) = \frac{L}{1 + Ce^{-kx}}$$
where:
- $L$ is the carrying capacity (upper asymptote)
- $C$ is related to the initial value
- $k$ is the growth rate
These models are S-shaped (sigmoidal) and are commonly used in:
- Population dynamics
- Spread of diseases
- Technology adoption
Modeling the spread of a social media platform, where the maximum number of users is estimated to be 1 billion:
$U(t) = \frac{1,000,000,000}{1 + 999e^{-0.5t}}$
Here, $U(t)$ is the number of users after $t$ months, assuming there was 1 million users initially.
TipThe inflection point of a logistic curve occurs at $x = \frac{\ln C}{k}$, which is when the growth rate is at its maximum.
Piecewise Models
Piecewise models combine different functions over different intervals. They're useful for describing complex behaviors that change abruptly at certain points. The general form is:
$$f(x) = \begin{cases} f_1(x) & \text{if } x < a \\ f_2(x) & \text{if } a \leq x < b \\ f_3(x) & \text{if } x \geq b \end{cases}$$
where:
- $f_1(x)$, $f_2(x)$, and $f_3(x)$ are different functions
- $a$ and $b$ are the boundary points.
A mobile phone plan charges differently based on usage:
$$C(x) = \begin{cases} 20 \text{if } 0 \leq x \leq 100 \\ 20 + 0.1(x-100) & \text{if } 100 < x \leq 500 \\ 60 + 0.05(x-500) & \text{if } x > 500 \end{cases}$$
Where $C(x)$ is the cost in dollars and x is the number of minutes used.
NoteEnsuring continuity at the boundary points is crucial. This often involves solving equations to find parameters that make the function continuous.
Log-Log and Semi-Log Graphs for Model Identification
When working with different types of models, graphing data using log-log or semi-log scales can help identify the best-fitting function.
- Log-Log Graphs:
- Used to identify power functions of the form$y = ax^b$.
- A straight-line pattern in a log-log plot suggests a power-law relationship.
- Semi-Log Graphs:
- Used for exponential models. If $y = a e^{bx}$, then plotting $\ln y$ vs. $x$ produces a linear graph, making it easier to determine the parameters.
By transforming non-linear data into a straight-line relationship, these graphs simplify model selection and parameter estimation.
TipPlotting data on a log-log or semi-log scale can reveal hidden patterns that are not obvious in standard Cartesian plots.
Using a GDC for Model Fitting
- Graphing calculators (GDCs) are powerful tools for analyzing real-world data and fitting mathematical models.
- The regression functions allow students to determine the best-fitting exponential, logarithmic, or logistic models for given data.
To use a GDC for model fitting:
- Enter the data into a statistics list.
- Choose the regression type (e.g., exponential, logarithmic, logistic).
- Analyze the equation and correlation coefficient ($R^2$).
- Graph the model along with the data points to check for accuracy.
- Using the GDC ensures accuracy and efficiency when solving complex problems in Math AI.
- Always compare the calculated model with a scatter plot of the data to verify if the fit is reasonable.
Misinterpreting Growth Rate in Logistic vs. Exponential Models
A frequent misconception occurs when interpreting the growth rate ($r$) in logistic and exponential models:
- Exponential growth assumes a constant rate of increase, where the function keeps growing indefinitely: $$N(t) = N_0 e^{rt}$$ Here, $r $ directly represents the per-unit time growth rate.
- Logistic growth accounts for a limiting factor (carrying capacity $L$), meaning growth slows down as $N$ approaches $L$: $$N(t) = \frac{L}{1 + Ce^{-rt}}$$ In logistic models, $r$ determines the rate of approach to the carrying capacity, not the initial growth speed alone.
Misinterpreting this difference can lead to incorrect predictions about population growth or resource limitations.